One Strong Dissent Against US and EU on Russia-Ukraine Dispute

b2ap3_thumbnail_RussiaUkraine.jpg

One American Dissent from US-EU Position on Russia-Ukraine

 

A Voice of America article portrays US Secretary of State John Kerry with his two fists clenched as if he were ready to fight, as he testified before the US Congress today. http://www.voanews.com/content/merkel-russia-risks-massive-damage-in-ukraine-crisis/1870218.html

b2ap3_thumbnail_2FistedKerry.jpg

If that is what he’s really asking for, then perhaps Russia will oblige the theatrical puppet. The US has zero credibility as a military presence in the Ukraine region, and the EU has less. http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/03/02/us-ukraine-crisis-usa-idUSBREA210MJ20140302

 

But go ahead, children, act out your silly gestures. http://edition.cnn.com/2014/03/06/business/europe-has-power-over-russia/

 

At HamiltonFinanceServices.com (HFS)all analysts fully agree that if the US and EU actually take a “serious series of steps” then so will China and Russia, and contrary to US and EU hopes, the US and EU have the most to loose. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/04/ukraine-crisis-shots-fired-crimea-airbase 

 

The lead HFS analyst says: True to his shallow ‘displomacy’ of gesture and empty form, Kerry told the US Congress in its hearing today that he hopes to avoid sanctions by talking with the Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov tomorrow in Russia. Balderdash (a polite way to parallel Rush Limbaugh’s vulgar “Barbara Streisand” expression)!

 

HFS analysts consensually elaborate pertinent international legal problems with the EU and US positions, as follows: In the various news reports of Kerry’s testimony, no mention ever arises concerning how the duly elected president of Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych, was ousted by the Ukraine parliament when no constitutional provisions in Ukraine existed for such a process at the time. There were clearly articulated impeachment procedures on the Ukrainian books. However, only treason or other crime constituted grounds for impeachment, and that process was never undertaken by the head of the Ukrainian parliament, its now acting “president” Oleksandr Turchynov. So Turchynov committed treason against the Ukraine, yet the US and its pet the EU repeat the chorus that he is the Ukraine president. Russia essentially has correctly stated that Yanukovych remains the elected Ukrainian president unless and until impeachment occurs during his term or a new election is duly called in the election cycle. The reason neither the US nor EU mention this significant legal issue is because all they want is to cloud the issue with finger pointing, fist clenching, and figurative frothing at their mouths. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/President_of_Ukraine

 

What do you think?

 

 

Can EU Sanctions Against Russia Work Without Chinese and Indian Support?

b2ap3_thumbnail_RussiaChinaOilPipeline.jpg

EU Sets Up For Russian Sanctions, But Where’s China? India?

 

News from the EU today shows last minute preparation underway to impose sanctions against Russia if it fails to unwind its Crimean venture. http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/03/13/us-ukraine-crisis-idUSBREA1Q1E820140313 All EU plans mirror US plans to freeze assets of Russian companies.

 

The list of companies to be sanctioned will likely begin with about 20 names, but as historically occurred, that list will expand to increase sanction pressures. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/bf57f81e-a862-11e3-8ce1-00144feab7de.html#axzz2vr5kxYiY

 

Analysts at http://HamiltonFinanceServices.com (HFS) pose a question based on October 2013 contracts and support agreements between China and Russia for significantly expanded oil and gas exports to China. http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/10/22/china-russia-energy-idUSL5N0IC10F20131022 The analysts note that pipeline preparations to carry out those 2013 agreements have been completed. Additionally, strong competition between Russian companies to access the Chinese market persist today. http://www.cnbc.com/id/101475550

 

Further, negotiations now underway contemplate building new pipelines from Russia to India. http://en.itar-tass.com/economy/721066

 

So HFS poses this question for the EU and US enthusiasts for sanctions against Russia: What do China and India say about sanctions as their economies grow increasingly dependent on Russian oil?

 

 

What do you think?

Russia Holds Oil Over EU, Despite Threat of US Backed Sanctions

b2ap3_thumbnail_EU_OilImportFromRussia.jpg

EU Pokes At Russian Bear To Its Peril

 

A draft seven page document prepared by the EU in cooperation with the US articulates sanctions against Russian citizens holding assets or traveling in the EU. The document will be considered by EU foreign ministers next Monday, 17 March 2014. http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/03/12/us-ukraine-eu-russia-sanctions-idUSBREA2B0QJ20140312

 

Passage and implementation of the sanctions hinges on whether Russia will halt expansion into the Ukrainian peninsula, Crimea, through its referendum vote in Crimea set for 16 March 2014. http://www.channel4.com/news/ukraine-crisis-uk-to-push-for-travel-bans-on-russian-mps-state-ownership-crimea-companies

 

To analysts at http://HamiltonFinanceServices.com (HFS) the EU cooperation with the US could easily backfire due to European dependence on Russian petroleum, and if Russia chooses retaliation, not only oil but raw materials for manufacturing could be placed in jeopardy. In the end, say HFS analysts, Russia continues holding the upper hand, and Russia knows it.

 

 

What do you think?

Brits Push Israel For Palestine Peace With Railing Against Iran

b2ap3_thumbnail_CameronInKnesset.jpg

Cameron in Knesset Rails Against Iran

 

British Prime Minister David Cameron, speaking in the Israeli Knesset today, blasted Iran as a “despotic regime” and promised support for Israel. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2579279/Cameron-denounces-despotic-Iranian-regime-speech-Israeli-parliament-accusing-Tehran-arming-Palestinian-militants.html?ITO=1490&ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490

 

Cameron made his first Israeli visit since his 2010 election as Britain’s PM, timed to coincide with US efforts to broker a peace accord between Israel and Palestine. The PM’s greatest criticism for Iran centered around Iranian weapons supporting militant Palestinian minorities. http://www.jpost.com/Diplomacy-and-Politics/WATCH-LIVE-British-PM-Cameron-addresses-Knesset-345118

 

To analysts at http://HamiltonFinanceServices.com the US and ally peace initiative comes during crises across Arab nations including Egypt, Syria, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq, with Jordanian assets committed to Arab allies, all suggesting that if Israel were to defend against any perceived military threat the Arab distractions might make action especially opportune. Accordingly, Israel may feel less inclined to bend to the will of US diplomats, and the British saber rattling implies added pressure on Israel to make peace while it can.

 

 

What do you think?  

Turkey Solves Bad Image by Facebook and YouTube Shutdown?

b2ap3_thumbnail_TurkeyWelcome.jpg

 

Just ban Facebook and YouTube if your image sinks under the weight of fraud allegations based on direct voice recordings posted to social media by your political enemies. That’s how Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan handles it. http://www.reuters.com/video/2014/03/07/turkeys-pm-threatening-to-ban-facebook-y?videoId=289456498&videoChannel=6

 

Not so fast, says the Turkish president, Abdullah Gül. And so the political dervish spins in Turkey, and now the PM has backed down. http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/turkish-pm-backtracks-on-social-media-ban-threat/2014/03/11/fc260e12-a91a-11e3-8a7b-c1c684e2671f_story.html

 

The larger question will persist long after the Turkish controversy passes. Why would any government seek to shut down such media? Of course, some governments with openly corrupt leaders seek to maintain power, but in other situations there might arise better reasons to contemplate shut down. In Thailand today, for example, apparently malicious use of Facebook and Twitter has caused death. http://www.nationmultimedia.com/opinion/Social-media-marvellous-tools-that-could-also-be-g-30226491.html

 

The technical challenge of shutting down seems less important to the Chinese government. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/committee-to-protect-journalists/liu-jianfeng-tests-new-mo_b_4913654.html

 

So here at http://HamiltonFinanceServices.com (HFS) we pose the meta-question about the politics of the Internet: When is a government justified in shutting down its citizen’s access to the Internet and its various versions of social networks?

 

To analysts at HFS, the problem lies in the nature of political contests, where no winner remains for long and most issues may be understood from multiple perspectives. So long as power exists to potentially shut down citizen access, the Internet will remain a tool of politicians and their technicians.

 

What do you think?

 

 

 

 

 

Dumb or Dumber: US Investigates Chinese Materials in Weapons Systems

b2ap3_thumbnail_GAO.jpg

GAO Second Guesses DoD on Chinese Materials

 

Pentagon investigators say they have “found” evidence that Chinese materials were illegally used to make F-35 parts, and further that other weapons systems such as the B-1B and the F-16 also used illegal Chinese materials. http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/03/10/us-usa-china-weapons-idUSBREA291UK20140310

 

To analysts at http://HamiltonFinanceServices.com (HFS, where former DoD investigators and prosecutors who have dealt with precisely these sort of allegations before now work), this news offers insight not about Pentagon and US Government Accounting Office (GAO) diligence, but rather about how dumbly they behave in the name of national security.

 

Here’s the scenario: Laws require the Pentagon to buy weapons made with materials, parts, and systems “made in America.” Of course, with tinkering by an active Congress the phrase “made in America” has expanded to include allies of America specified on a US State Department list of approved sources, such as Japan, Britain, France, etc. China is not on the list, so if materials such as metals used to make cheap little magnets for expensive radar systems come from China, the law says it’s illegal and the parts must be replaced with others from approved sources. But remember that Congress is like a ship of active little rats who gnaw at every morsel.

 

With Congressional approval, DoD obtained and exercised authority in a few cases to waive the “Buy American Act” stringent prohibitions against buying parts composed of Chinese materials. However, not everyone in Congress agreed with those waivers, despite the big weapons makers relying on the waivers to produce their weapons on time under their DoD contracts.

 

So now Congress is pushing its tools, the GAO and the Comptroller General, to question the waivers granted several years ago in hopes of compelling those big weapons makers to pay for retrofitting the radars with magnets made from approved sources.

 

Of course, those weapons makers have literally thousands of lawyers, more even than all of the lawyers in the US Department of Justice and DoD combined, ready to wave the waivers in the faces of administrative and federal judges who will eventually hear these cases.

 

But DoD uses another foul tactic to avoid such litigation by refusing to do business with the big weapons makers who don’t pay quickly and quietly, in this dumb or dumber game. It rarely works, of course, because some members of Congress feel more loyalty to the weapons makers than to the government tail chasers.

 

As stated, dumb or dumber. That’s the defense contractor business in a nutshell.

 

What do you think?

 

 

Kerry 2nd Blunder Will Hurt Ukrainians

b2ap3_thumbnail_KerryBlunder.jpgb2ap3_thumbnail_KerryBlunder.jpg

Kerry Blunder Will Cost Ukrainians

 

Saturday US Secretary of State John Kerry told Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov the US would close any available space for diplomacy” if Russia annexes Crimea. http://finance.yahoo.com/news/john-kerry-made-troubling-threat-151446123.html and

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/03/08/us-ukraine-crisis-usa-idUSBREA270OZ20140308

 

This is not the first diplomatic blunder for John Kerry. Recall when in September 2013 the US jeopardized Syria when Kerry spouted off about avoiding US force if Assad would surrender chemical weapons. http://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2013/09/10/syri-s10.html

 

Today, Russia continues its annexation process over Crimea after changing its laws to support annexation of places with Russian speaking people, despite international opposition. http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/03/09/ukraine-crisis-idUSL6N0M606520140309

 

Analysts at http://HamiltonFinanceServices.com view Secretary Kerry’s remarks as extremely unhelpful, since short of military confrontation, diplomacy offers the only means to unwind the Ukraine crisis. This ‘no more diplomacy’ posture poses the most likely scenario for war, yet obviously the US has no real capacity for acting alone, so HFS analysts wonder whether the UN or other US allies were consulted before the Kerry remarks.

 

 

What do you think?

Assange Skypes to the World About National Security Reporting

b2ap3_thumbnail_AssangePhoto.jpg

National Security Reporting, A New Career Choice

 

Listening to Julian Assange as he Skyped around the world from the Ecuadorian embassy in London Saturday, one might believe a new career choice has emerged in the field of national security reporting. http://www.theverge.com/2014/3/8/5484784/julian-assange-at-sxsw-wikileaks

 

The WikiLeaks founder, now fleeing Swedish charges of sexual assault, has holed up in the embassy to avoid what he maintains is a plot to extradite him to the US for prosecution because he broadcast hundreds of thousands of national security documents and refuses to name sources. http://news.yahoo.com/wikileaks-assange-talks-nsa-hints-more-leaks-214516768.html

 

For about an hour marked by sound outages, Assange described how a new refugee status has emerged as national security reporters become more significant influencers on the world scene. To Assange, the NSA has become a rogue government agency. http://www.theguardian.com/media/2014/mar/08/julian-assange-wikileaks-nsa-sxsw The world’s reaction to government overreaching is the new job called ‘national security reporter.’

 

However, Assange warns that even now the US fails to take Edward Snowden and similar reporters seriously. He says: “We know what happens when the government is serious. Someone is fired, someone is forced to resign, someone is prosecuted, an investigation (is launched), a budget is cut. None of that has happened in the last eight months since the Edward Snowden revelations.”

 

Analysts at http://HamiltonFinanceServices.com (HFS) argue that to take Snowden and similar leakers seriously would raise them to a new political status due to the importance of changes being made as the result of ongoing court cases, previously report by HFS, that have arisen within the past 6 months. US security service leaders remains indignant and self-righteous, and they will probably stay that way until the US Supreme Court bites them where it hurts, say HFS analysts.

 

 

What do you think?

China Red Line Says: N. Korea, Back Off

b2ap3_thumbnail_ChinaParliament.jpg

China Draws Red Line For North Korea

Today Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, observing aloud that North Korea sits on China’s doorstep, said: “We have a red line, that is, we will not allow war or instability on the Korean peninsula.” http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/03/08/us-korea-north-china-idUSBREA2703Q20140308

 

The Foreign Minister’s comments arose on location during a break in the annual Chinese parliamentary meeting that approves all new laws for the coming year. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Politics_of_the_Republic_of_China

 

Analysts at http://HamiltonFinanceServices.com (HFS) note that US Secretary of State John Kerry recently left Beijing after urging China to take more responsibility for regional affairs, especially North Korea. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/feb/14/john-kerry-china-visit-north-korea-nuclear-talks

 

These HFS analysts observe that the US seems to have less confidence in the regional peace keeping role of Russia in Ukrainian affairs than it has for China in North Korean affairs. This comparison raises the fundamental question: Why does the US actively resist Russian peacekeeping while at the same time supporting Chinese peacekeeping?

 

HFS thoughts: Maybe Chinese peacekeeping supports the US ally, South Korea, but the US has no real allies in the Ukraine region, so to build an alliance, the US opposes Russia as a strategic initiative to develop a new regional foothold with Ukraine. HFS analysts consider this US strategy too risky and unlikely to succeed.

 

What do you think? 

NSA Wiretaps: On or Off?

b2ap3_thumbnail_NSA.jpg

ACLU Appeals Court Approval of NSA Blanket Wiretaps

 

Yesterday afternoon, the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) in Manhattan, New York, filed an appeal to overrule a US federal judge’s December 2013 decision that approves of the US National Security Agency (NSA) plan to archive copies of all telephone records of large telephone companies. http://news.yahoo.com/aclu-asks-appeals-court-undo-phone-data-ruling-192626948.html The NSA program has operated for over ten years within the US, according to documents released recently by Edward Snowden. http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/washington/2006-05-10-nsa_x.htm

 

According to analysts at http://HamiltonFinanceServices.com (HFS), another US federal judge in Washington DC, Richard Leon, ruled in early 2014 that the NSA program unconstitutionally violates the ban against unreasonable search and seizure. Judge Leon stayed his decision so that the US government could file an appeal. https://ecf.dcd.uscourts.gov/cgi-bin/show_public_doc?2013cv0851-48

 

Today HFS analysts predict this question and possibly both of the federal appeals will end up in the US Supreme Court, as impacts of the Edward Snowden leaks continue to unfold across the globe. Those analysts opine that for good or ill, Snowden has changed the course of history.

 

 

What do you think?